A report has suggested that the outbreak of a new war against the Islamic Republic of Iran could, from an Iranian perspective, constitute an opportunity to redefine security and strategic equations in West Asia, and to end what Tehran describes as decades of threats to its national security.
According to the report, the potential goals of this strategy are not limited to repelling any military attack, but also include dismantling the infrastructure of armed groups hostile to Iran, halting regional support for entities that Tehran considers adversaries, and working to end the American military presence in the region.
The report pointed out that any upcoming confrontation could push Iran to move beyond its strategy of containing attacks and reverting to the previous state of affairs, towards an effort to change the foundations it believes contribute to the ongoing security threats against it.
This vision reflects a strategic direction that links any potential military confrontation with reshaping the security and military balances in West Asia, amid continuing regional tensions.
One of the main strategic objectives in the event of war is to end the activities of groups that threaten the security of Iran’s borders and its citizens through armed actions, sabotage, and inciting insecurity. The presence of these groups in the areas surrounding Iran, and their enjoying financial, military, intelligence, and logistical support from host countries, goes beyond being a limited border threat and is directly linked to the country’s national security. In such a case, the complete dismantling of the operational capability of these groups, cutting logistical support paths, and preventing their use of the territories of other countries must become one of the main security priorities. The goal is to permanently end the possibility of organizing and executing terrorist operations against Iran and to prevent the reproduction of these threats in the future.
One of the fundamental issues in Iranian security equations is the role of certain countries in the region in providing facilities or supporting the anti-Iranian currents and armed groups. Any financial, military, intelligence, or political support for these groups, in addition to providing a ground for their activity in the territories of other countries, can lead to the continuation of insecurity and an increase in the threat against Iran. If a new war breaks out, the elimination of this path must become one of the main axes of security arrangements. No country should simultaneously claim to discuss regional security while placing its territories, facilities, or infrastructure in the service of actions targeting the national security of its neighbor. The Persian Gulf states, due to their geographic location and hosting some foreign military bases and facilities, hold an important position in regional security equations. Therefore, any use of the territories of these countries or their airspace or facilities for military operations against Iran would have direct implications for its national security. In the event of war, the groundwork for any military and security cooperation that assists in aggression against Iran should be dismantled, and arrangements should be formed that render the use of the territories of regional countries for threatening neighbors unacceptable. The strategic aim is to end the cycle of hostility and create conditions that secure the safety of regional countries, not through alliances with Iran's enemies, but through independent mechanisms and the effectiveness of independent regional states like Iran.
The American military presence in West Asia is one of the main components of the security equations surrounding Iran. In conditions where foreign military bases and facilities are used to support hostile actions against the country, the necessity of reconsidering this structure will arise more than ever. From this standpoint, one of the strategic goals is to end the American military presence and lay the groundwork for the expulsion of its forces from the region, which was partially achieved during the Ramadan War. Such a shift could lead to the end of the possibility of interventions by hostile powers from outside the region and enhance the role of regional countries in determining their security arrangements. Security, intelligence, or military cooperation of some regional actors with the Zionist entity, especially when used against the national interests and security of Iran, is another focal point in this equation. In the event of war, the importance of ending any regional participation in military and intelligence operations against Iran will increase. The strategic goal must be to create conditions where no regional government can use its facilities, infrastructure, or security relationships to facilitate aggression against Iran. Ending these hostile cooperations and preventing their recurrence could be part of the foundations of a new security system in West Asia.
If Iran's enemies start a new war, this confrontation could be an opportunity for a radical reconsideration of regional security equations; an opportunity to end the activities of terrorist and armed groups hostile to Iran, cut off financial and military support to them, prevent the use of regional territories for hostile actions, end the American military presence, and halt anti-Iranian cooperation with the Zionist entity. The strategic aim is not merely to overcome a war; rather, it is to end a cycle that has sustained the foundation for the continued threat against Iran for decades. In this context, any confrontation should be followed up with the intention of enhancing sustainable deterrence, protecting national security, ending support for armed groups, and creating arrangements where no government or actor can use their territory and facilities to threaten the security of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Such an approach can provide the groundwork for changing the calculations of enemies, reducing cross-border threats, and forming a regional system where Iran's security and the stability of West Asia are defined based on government responsibility and the cessation of hostile interventions. Iranian expert: Morteza Amiri #Threats_to_Iran #West_Asia #American_Military_Presence